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Trader leaderboard/09F911029D74

09F911029D74

0x4247c89f4a9236a6b5fb24502023bcc98ab1455f
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$18
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-22.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
13%
11W / 72L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
22W / 73L
Trades (30d)
95
across 40 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.57
avg win $5 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.64
$31 won / $48 lost
Reward / Risk
2.65
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,375 · all-time $1,504,006

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 32.9% 785W/1,604L 1372 $5,011
🌤 Weather 59.6% 28W/19L 29 $108
🎬 Culture 10.5% 4W/34L 21 $49
💵 Economy 8.6% 5W/53L 18 $51
🏛 Politics 38.5% 5W/8L 17 $49
₿ Crypto 8.8% 5W/52L 15 $47
🤖 Tech 16.7% 1W/5L 3 $4
⚽ Sports 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $5
🔬 Science 2 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

174 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 12,501 0.790 $9,882.04 $3,631.54 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 12,501 0.209 $2,618.96 $-3,631.54 -58.1%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? No 50 0.625 $31.27 $29.27 +1463.5%
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 45 0.625 $28.09 $26.29 +1462.5%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 66 0.410 $27.06 $25.08 +1266.7%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in May? No 45 0.500 $22.50 $22.05 +4900.0%
Natural Disaster in 2026? No 28 0.775 $21.70 $19.74 +1007.1%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? No 50 0.245 $12.25 $10.25 +512.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? No 15 0.676 $10.15 $8.17 +412.5%
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.575 $7.68 $7.00 +1027.4%
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 10 0.645 $6.45 $4.45 +222.5%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 25 0.225 $5.62 $3.62 +181.2%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No 6 0.903 $5.34 $4.31 +416.0%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? No 10 0.500 $5.00 $4.90 +4900.0%
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? No 18 0.273 $4.91 $2.92 +147.7%
Will Rodri join Barcelona? No 5 0.964 $4.81 $1.81 +60.3%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? No 11 0.435 $4.79 $2.81 +141.7%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%? No 5 0.981 $4.59 $2.66 +138.0%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? No 5 0.969 $4.53 $2.65 +141.6%
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? No 5 0.987 $4.50 $1.33 +41.9%
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 TOUR Championship? No 5 0.983 $4.44 $2.14 +93.1%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.885 $4.42 $1.72 +63.9%
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.920 $4.42 $4.13 +1433.3%
Will Nathaniel Lowe win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? No 5 0.915 $4.40 $3.20 +266.2%
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? No 5 0.874 $4.37 $1.02 +30.4%