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Trader

0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$11
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-50.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
2W / 9L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
3W / 9L
Trades (30d)
12
across 10 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.27
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.02
$0 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $160,760 · all-time $17,352,266

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 28.4% 483W/1,216L 704 $368,353
⚽ Sports 51.3% 60W/57L 71 $115,168
🏛 Politics 25.0% 1W/3L 18 $669
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 4 $402
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $8
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

170 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 23,332 0.285 $6,647.40 $-10,919.92 -62.2%
CSD Macara vs. Guayaquil City FC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 3,290 0.550 $1,809.68 $-1,151.62 -38.9%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes 68,516 0.024 $1,644.38 $-22,981.17 -93.3%
Leones Futbol Club vs. Barcelona SC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 2,364 0.500 $1,181.76 $-1,063.59 -47.4%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 815 0.890 $725.00 $-16.29 -2.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 3,908 0.155 $605.69 $-713.84 -54.1%
Leones Futbol Club vs. Barcelona SC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 523 0.500 $261.45 $-235.31 -47.4%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,846 0.085 $156.92 $-9.23 -5.6%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 245 0.565 $138.33 $3.04 +2.2%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 174 0.745 $129.67 $55.38 +74.6%
Will TYLOO Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 286 0.445 $127.39 $14.79 +13.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 131 0.962 $125.78 $6.49 +5.4%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,275 0.095 $120.52 $-6.79 -5.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 176 0.645 $113.71 $39.22 +52.7%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 1,825 0.060 $109.52 $7.67 +7.5%
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09? Yes 317 0.325 $103.00 $-30.11 -22.6%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,313 0.075 $99.12 $-56.76 -36.4%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes 143 0.655 $93.57 $-6.43 -6.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 167 0.540 $89.95 $25.63 +39.8%
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes 2,832 0.031 $87.78 $-40.95 -31.8%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 83 0.956 $79.60 $-1.53 -1.9%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 4,965 0.016 $79.43 $3.21 +4.2%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 531 0.145 $76.94 $21.88 +39.7%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 112 0.643 $72.14 $-26.43 -26.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 313 0.209 $65.55 $3.78 +6.1%