| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
11,200 |
0.865 |
$9,688.01 |
$392.00 |
+4.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
15,608 |
0.455 |
$7,101.67 |
$7,101.67 |
+0.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
5,847 |
0.715 |
$4,180.29 |
$1,811.19 |
+76.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
5,508 |
0.675 |
$3,718.17 |
$578.38 |
+18.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
7,457 |
0.445 |
$3,318.28 |
$2,096.53 |
+171.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.356 |
$2,852.01 |
$1,813.21 |
+174.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
4,187 |
0.485 |
$2,030.47 |
$940.16 |
+86.2% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
2,592 |
0.685 |
$1,775.61 |
$1,775.61 |
+0.0% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
1,273 |
0.815 |
$1,037.56 |
$1,037.56 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,282 |
0.675 |
$865.34 |
$-65.73 |
-7.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,078 |
0.590 |
$636.04 |
$636.04 |
+0.0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.009 |
$285.00 |
$285.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.645 |
$258.00 |
$58.00 |
+29.0% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
851 |
0.245 |
$208.55 |
$208.55 |
+0.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,923 |
0.088 |
$170.19 |
$68.27 |
+67.0% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.790 |
$118.42 |
$118.42 |
+0.0% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
228 |
0.460 |
$104.79 |
$104.79 |
+0.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
2,364 |
0.044 |
$104.02 |
$104.02 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
435 |
0.235 |
$102.17 |
$102.17 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? |
Yes |
113 |
0.795 |
$89.72 |
$89.72 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
No |
203 |
0.440 |
$89.23 |
$6.03 |
+7.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
484 |
0.175 |
$84.79 |
$73.15 |
+628.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.830 |
$83.00 |
$83.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? |
Yes |
170 |
0.475 |
$80.94 |
$-69.37 |
-46.2% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? |
Yes |
108 |
0.550 |
$59.40 |
$59.40 |
+0.0% |