| Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
491 |
0.585 |
$287.40 |
$-21.29 |
-6.9% |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August? |
No |
417 |
0.675 |
$281.43 |
$14.06 |
+5.3% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
509 |
0.385 |
$196.01 |
$37.37 |
+23.6% |
| Will United Russia win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
180 |
0.957 |
$172.17 |
$-1.78 |
-1.0% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
202 |
0.795 |
$160.32 |
$0.16 |
+0.1% |
| Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
164 |
0.951 |
$156.00 |
$-1.01 |
-0.6% |
| Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
190 |
0.595 |
$113.13 |
$36.68 |
+48.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
100 |
0.993 |
$99.30 |
$37.20 |
+59.9% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? |
No |
106 |
0.792 |
$83.84 |
$-1.49 |
-1.7% |
| Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings? |
No |
450 |
0.135 |
$60.75 |
$-20.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
50 |
0.988 |
$49.39 |
$1.60 |
+3.3% |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? |
No |
50 |
0.906 |
$45.30 |
$-3.25 |
-6.7% |
| Will Jack Grealish join Everton? |
Yes |
55 |
0.410 |
$22.55 |
$13.30 |
+143.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? |
Yes |
100 |
0.210 |
$21.00 |
$4.00 |
+23.5% |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August? |
Yes |
50 |
0.155 |
$7.75 |
$-2.25 |
-22.5% |
| Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
109 |
0.039 |
$4.24 |
$-7.32 |
-63.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? |
No |
50 |
0.069 |
$3.42 |
$-0.45 |
-11.6% |
| Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.00 |
$0.90 |
+81.7% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31? |
Yes |
108 |
0.011 |
$1.19 |
$-18.26 |
-93.9% |
| Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
322 |
0.002 |
$0.48 |
$-8.46 |
-94.6% |
| Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
322 |
0.002 |
$0.48 |
$-8.46 |
-94.6% |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
322 |
0.002 |
$0.48 |
$-8.46 |
-94.6% |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
321 |
0.002 |
$0.48 |
$-8.43 |
-94.6% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC? |
Yes |
39 |
0.009 |
$0.33 |
$-1.11 |
-76.8% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD? |
Yes |
20 |
0.011 |
$0.21 |
$-0.52 |
-71.4% |