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Trader leaderboard/0x4204e5C8d2Db9F26a69c8B5fe9090bab14A0d93d-1772295211820

0x4204e5C8d2Db9F26a69c8B5fe9090bab14A0d93d-1772295211820

0x4204e5c8d2db9f26a69c8b5fe9090bab14a0d93d
PnL (30d)
+$4
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
21W / 42L · 107 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
57W / 108L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
170
across 75 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.18
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.23
$23 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
2.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $216 · all-time $7,189

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.3% 21W/42L 75 $1,257
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 8 $73

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No 19 0.885 $16.59 $1.59 +10.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 17 0.940 $15.58 $0.89 +6.1%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.915 $10.33 $-0.06 -0.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No 10 0.870 $8.48 $0.49 +6.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 10 0.855 $8.34 $0.34 +4.3%
Iran coup attempt by December 31? No 9 0.895 $8.32 $0.33 +4.1%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 9 0.905 $8.23 $0.23 +2.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 10 0.835 $8.14 $0.15 +1.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 10 0.855 $8.14 $0.14 +1.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 9 0.875 $8.14 $0.14 +1.7%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 10 0.855 $8.13 $0.14 +1.8%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 9 0.875 $7.95 $-0.05 -0.6%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 9 0.915 $7.95 $-0.04 -0.5%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 10 0.815 $7.85 $-0.15 -1.8%
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? No 9 0.870 $7.55 $-0.43 -5.4%
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? No 9 0.850 $7.38 $-0.61 -7.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.925 $7.18 $0.04 +0.5%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 7 0.954 $7.03 $0.03 +0.5%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 5 0.905 $4.29 $0.76 +21.4%