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Trader leaderboard/Chungvicular

Chungvicular

0x41eacf5aaa4c7fc883a098635b981050715d7a3d
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,684
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3,313
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
6W / 1L · 80 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
68W / 19L
Trades (30d)
87
across 10 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$421.12
avg win $635 · loss $220
Profit Factor
8.66
$1,904 won / $220 lost
Reward / Risk
2.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,385 · all-time $2,439,995

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 19.3% 32W/134L 20 $48,413
🏛 Politics 100.0% 6W/0L 6 $8,129
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 2 $5,761
🎬 Culture 2 $799

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 34,255 0.305 $10,447.90 $-3,147.01 -23.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 24,297 0.349 $8,491.82 $3,206.85 +60.7%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 21,003 0.335 $7,035.88 $-2,106.98 -23.0%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 12,500 0.325 $4,062.50 $-1,337.50 -24.8%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 5,011 0.475 $2,380.31 $101.55 +4.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 23,748 0.093 $2,220.48 $1,365.09 +159.6%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 6,000 0.365 $2,190.00 $-30.00 -1.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 7,614 0.180 $1,370.46 $-1,557.77 -53.2%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes 29,134 0.040 $1,165.37 $-595.50 -33.8%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No 5,555 0.205 $1,138.81 $-774.63 -40.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? Yes 8,501 0.110 $935.06 $-1,263.97 -57.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 5,000 0.178 $892.50 $-682.50 -43.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 655 0.998 $654.13 $275.44 +72.7%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,258 0.485 $609.99 $69.17 +12.8%
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 7,750 0.036 $279.00 $-915.99 -76.7%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 300 0.855 $256.80 $35.38 +16.0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 26,465 0.009 $251.42 $13.23 +5.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 453 0.445 $201.71 $-15.86 -7.3%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 305 0.610 $186.28 $140.47 +306.7%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 2,942 0.059 $172.10 $-1,595.93 -90.3%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 121 0.996 $120.52 $109.52 +995.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes 166 0.680 $112.91 $23.25 +25.9%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 47 0.803 $37.64 $16.96 +82.0%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 94 0.395 $37.31 $15.58 +71.7%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 17,720 0.001 $8.86 $-1,241.33 -99.3%