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Trader leaderboard/VortexTrading

VortexTrading

0x41c71e6daf8fb1a4ae199ecb4f54cbdf3a5c0df5
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$24
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$188
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
70W / 6L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
73W / 66L
Trades (30d)
139
across 19 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$2.66
avg win $12 · loss $121
Profit Factor
0.80
$97 won / $121 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,183 · all-time $275,832

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 95.3% 749W/37L 211 $53,574
₿ Crypto 100.0% 177W/0L 51 $3,157
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 6 $5,470
💵 Economy 2 $159

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 24,300 0.790 $19,209.15 $7,059.15 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 24,300 0.209 $5,090.85 $-7,059.15 -58.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 3,606 0.979 $3,528.72 $41.90 +1.2%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 3,050 0.942 $2,871.57 $62.13 +2.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,281 0.845 $1,927.79 $54.49 +2.9%
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No 1,409 0.975 $1,373.28 $21.90 +1.6%
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,312 0.984 $1,290.52 $30.23 +2.4%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 850 0.955 $811.75 $22.25 +2.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 740 0.974 $720.39 $14.49 +2.1%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 630 0.977 $615.20 $35.07 +6.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 654 0.865 $565.58 $19.38 +3.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 350 0.963 $336.88 $11.48 +3.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 320 0.962 $307.84 $15.38 +5.3%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 300 0.993 $297.75 $1.65 +0.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 314 0.935 $293.42 $16.76 +6.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? No 250 0.990 $247.38 $6.33 +2.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 200 0.980 $195.90 $4.40 +2.3%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 150 0.875 $131.25 $0.75 +0.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 120 0.975 $116.94 $3.95 +3.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 177 0.625 $110.45 $-24.06 -17.9%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 100 1.000 $99.95 $3.85 +4.0%
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.979 $97.85 $2.95 +3.1%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 80 0.955 $76.40 $2.80 +3.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 80 0.945 $75.60 $7.20 +10.5%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 65 0.943 $61.26 $15.03 +32.5%