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0x41b684f33bd7d277ee1af437fa3bb4153e4c8f2b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 5L
Trades (30d)
5
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $152,913
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? |
No |
409 |
0.880 |
$360.03 |
$37.05 |
+11.5% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? |
No |
248 |
0.795 |
$197.01 |
$80.24 |
+68.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.825 |
$165.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.865 |
$155.69 |
$59.98 |
+62.7% |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? |
No |
41 |
0.780 |
$31.79 |
$6.02 |
+23.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
30 |
0.790 |
$23.71 |
$-0.17 |
-0.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
41 |
0.155 |
$6.31 |
$0.61 |
+10.7% |