PnL (30d)

−$15

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-33.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

6%

5W / 84L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

8W / 89L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

99

across 16 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$1.14

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.06

$1 won / $16 lost

Reward / Risk

0.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.8% 145W/553L	330	$1,465
₿ Crypto	30.2% 16W/37L	21	$105
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	21	$65
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/13L	7	$32
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$3
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$19
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/7L	3	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 9?	Yes	103	0.037	$3.82	$-0.52	-12.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Eredivisie next?	Yes	1,223	0.001	$0.61	$-0.61	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Liga MX next?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Primeira Liga next?	Yes	944	0.001	$0.47	$-0.47	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Scottish Premiership next?	Yes	658	0.001	$0.33	$-0.33	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Pro League (Belgium) next?	Yes	658	0.001	$0.33	$-0.33	-50.0%
Will Bruno Fernandes join Barcelona?	Yes	50	0.004	$0.23	$0.12	+125.0%
Will James Harden play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	137	0.002	$0.21	$-0.81	-79.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?	Yes	45	0.004	$0.20	$-0.25	-55.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Egyptian Premier League next?	Yes	320	0.001	$0.16	$-0.16	-50.0%
Will Mohamed Salah play in La Liga next?	Yes	36	0.003	$0.09	$-0.09	-50.0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	97	0.000	$0.00	$-0.10	-100.0%