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Trader leaderboard/0x418f8A01d9b98138c81E6330F193C05e4CA35f3B-1774574507033

0x418f8A01d9b98138c81E6330F193C05e4CA35f3B-1774574507033

0x418f8a01d9b98138c81e6330f193c05e4ca35f3b
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
192W / 164L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
199W / 171L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
376
across 76 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$0.09
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.35
$22 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
0.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $692 · all-time $51,291

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.4% 540W/511L 265 $1,661
🌤 Weather 57.7% 71W/52L 35 $246

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? Yes 17 0.515 $8.97 $0.44 +5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 6? No 5 0.984 $4.61 $-0.03 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6? Yes 15 0.255 $3.79 $-0.93 -19.7%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 4 0.800 $3.36 $-0.04 -1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 6? No 3 0.990 $2.52 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 6? No 3 0.985 $2.51 $-0.01 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 6? No 2 0.935 $1.98 $0.01 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? Yes 6 0.315 $1.91 $-0.39 -17.1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on August 5? No 2 0.989 $1.56 $0.11 +7.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5? Yes 8 0.001 $0.00 $-3.16 -99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? Yes 8 0.001 $0.00 $-2.11 -99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.001 $0.00 $-1.84 -99.9%