eeelliot
0x4159d9b66e877c56399de1495eb8d79368cfa9a0
PnL (30d)
+$435
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$123
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+38.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
17W / 18L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
19W / 36L
Trades (30d)
55
across 20 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$27.20
avg win $63 · loss $9
Profit Factor
7.25
$505 won / $70 lost
Reward / Risk
7.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $239,910
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
49,000 |
0.095 |
$4,655.00 |
$-2,878.56 |
-38.2% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
100 |
0.969 |
$96.85 |
$4.05 |
+4.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.038 |
$7.60 |
$-6.60 |
-46.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.110 |
$2.20 |
$-1.10 |
-33.3% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
50 |
0.025 |
$1.25 |
$-11.75 |
-90.4% |