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Trader leaderboard/topdogletsgo2

topdogletsgo2

0x414e3b643b463c2e92a6666855a66cb8bf7b144e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
22%
76W / 262L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
89W / 305L
Trades (30d)
394
across 12 markets · ~33 per market
EV / position
−$0.64
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.41
$3 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $148,426

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.6% 452W/892L 102 $3,473
🏛 Politics 1 $87
💵 Economy 1 $87

Open positions

73 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? Yes 10 0.996 $9.96 $6.41 +180.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 10 0.885 $8.85 $2.05 +30.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.515 $5.15 $0.90 +21.2%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Amaru Gaming 10 0.515 $5.15 $0.52 +11.1%
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes 5 0.991 $4.95 $3.40 +219.5%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 5 0.981 $4.90 $1.88 +62.2%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Team Jenz 10 0.485 $4.85 $0.60 +14.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 10 0.485 $4.85 $-0.66 -12.0%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 5 0.890 $4.73 $2.18 +85.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 5 0.940 $4.70 $2.22 +89.9%
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? No 5 0.934 $4.67 $1.99 +74.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 5 0.885 $4.42 $1.71 +62.9%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 5 0.865 $4.33 $1.77 +69.6%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 5 0.839 $4.19 $2.12 +102.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 5 0.825 $4.12 $1.85 +81.3%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 5 0.820 $4.10 $0.40 +10.8%
Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 5 0.782 $3.91 $2.33 +146.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? No 5 0.777 $3.79 $0.92 +32.0%
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 5 0.710 $3.55 $0.29 +8.8%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 5 0.700 $3.50 $1.65 +89.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 5 0.695 $3.47 $0.37 +12.1%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes 5 0.695 $3.47 $0.92 +36.3%
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? No 5 0.655 $3.22 $0.51 +18.8%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 3 0.994 $3.11 $1.39 +80.6%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? No 5 0.595 $2.97 $0.22 +8.2%