PnL (30d)

+$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+58.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

23W / 5L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

23W / 7L

Trades (30d)

30

across 6 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$2.69

avg win $5 · loss $8

Profit Factor

2.68

$21 won / $8 lost

Reward / Risk

0.67

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.1% 23W/5L	6	$61
₿ Crypto	—	1	$2

Open positions

64 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	200	0.790	$158.10	$58.10	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	201	0.209	$42.11	$-57.12	-57.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	40	0.964	$38.50	$9.25	+31.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	36	0.955	$34.60	$11.95	+52.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	25	0.966	$24.16	$4.35	+22.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	24	0.945	$22.76	$8.46	+59.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	20	0.915	$18.30	$6.90	+60.5%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.935	$9.54	$4.54	+90.8%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	9	0.900	$8.44	$5.44	+181.2%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.820	$8.20	$0.98	+13.5%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	10	0.675	$6.75	$3.36	+99.2%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	6	0.945	$5.91	$1.91	+47.7%
USDC depeg by December 31?	Yes	465	0.013	$5.82	$-8.79	-60.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	5	0.981	$4.90	$0.10	+2.1%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	2	0.925	$1.47	$0.47	+46.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.135	$0.13	$0.13	+3314.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.117	$0.12	$0.11	+2857.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.090	$0.09	$0.09	+2197.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.088	$0.09	$0.08	+2146.3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.044	$0.04	$0.04	+1028.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.025	$0.03	$0.02	+543.6%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.025	$0.02	$0.02	+520.7%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.023	$0.02	$0.02	+482.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.015	$0.02	$0.01	+292.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1	0.015	$0.02	$0.01	+292.1%