| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
34,000 |
0.994 |
$33,796.00 |
$16,796.00 |
+98.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
25,000 |
0.925 |
$23,124.99 |
$1,545.05 |
+7.2% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
15,481 |
0.966 |
$14,954.37 |
$3,125.34 |
+26.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.915 |
$9,150.00 |
$590.00 |
+6.9% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
No |
8,745 |
0.919 |
$8,041.30 |
$414.12 |
+5.4% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
25,219 |
0.315 |
$7,943.83 |
$-5,316.21 |
-40.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
6,000 |
0.987 |
$5,918.99 |
$445.01 |
+8.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? |
No |
6,609 |
0.852 |
$5,627.67 |
$-84.13 |
-1.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
5,565 |
0.875 |
$4,869.43 |
$209.56 |
+4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
12,000 |
0.375 |
$4,499.96 |
$-1,578.17 |
-26.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
6,127 |
0.675 |
$4,135.89 |
$653.82 |
+18.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,035 |
0.987 |
$3,980.11 |
$348.93 |
+9.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.455 |
$3,640.02 |
$40.02 |
+1.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
4,000 |
0.840 |
$3,359.99 |
$760.01 |
+29.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
9,177 |
0.255 |
$2,340.23 |
$-1,556.88 |
-39.9% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
5,458 |
0.395 |
$2,156.07 |
$-435.85 |
-16.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
5,782 |
0.357 |
$2,064.09 |
$1,047.47 |
+103.0% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,278 |
0.860 |
$1,959.27 |
$234.16 |
+13.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
2,000 |
0.865 |
$1,730.00 |
$167.50 |
+10.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,908 |
0.823 |
$1,570.43 |
$601.12 |
+62.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.305 |
$1,525.00 |
$575.00 |
+60.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
3,222 |
0.405 |
$1,304.91 |
$191.67 |
+17.2% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
14,682 |
0.086 |
$1,255.31 |
$223.55 |
+21.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
2,643 |
0.414 |
$1,095.64 |
$293.75 |
+36.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
19,979 |
0.044 |
$889.05 |
$203.60 |
+29.7% |