| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
1,619 |
0.985 |
$1,594.63 |
$-1.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
8,706 |
0.117 |
$1,014.20 |
$-43.13 |
-4.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,468 |
0.184 |
$824.39 |
$-123.99 |
-13.1% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
694 |
0.985 |
$682.83 |
$0.35 |
+0.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
726 |
0.835 |
$606.43 |
$-7.93 |
-1.3% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
880 |
0.595 |
$523.83 |
$-39.74 |
-7.1% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
471 |
0.976 |
$459.77 |
$-1.39 |
-0.3% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
491 |
0.929 |
$456.03 |
$-5.10 |
-1.1% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
420 |
0.987 |
$414.62 |
$0.21 |
+0.1% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
400 |
0.993 |
$397.29 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
2,653 |
0.145 |
$384.76 |
$-146.76 |
-27.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
397 |
0.914 |
$362.84 |
$-2.88 |
-0.8% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
4,319 |
0.062 |
$269.91 |
$-37.11 |
-12.1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
1,411 |
0.190 |
$268.17 |
$-29.87 |
-10.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
6,714 |
0.040 |
$265.19 |
$3.18 |
+1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
1,885 |
0.125 |
$235.58 |
$-18.63 |
-7.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
5,036 |
0.044 |
$221.60 |
$-96.08 |
-30.2% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? |
No |
239 |
0.905 |
$215.98 |
$-2.76 |
-1.3% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
200 |
0.971 |
$194.10 |
$-2.00 |
-1.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
200 |
0.948 |
$189.50 |
$-0.90 |
-0.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
Yes |
6,249 |
0.029 |
$178.09 |
$19.53 |
+12.3% |
| Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,161 |
0.135 |
$156.73 |
$-21.29 |
-12.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,534 |
0.013 |
$142.21 |
$-36.29 |
-20.3% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
746 |
0.185 |
$138.03 |
$-22.98 |
-14.3% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 |
Yes |
1,982 |
0.065 |
$128.80 |
$-95.56 |
-42.6% |