PnL (30d)

+$1,337

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$267

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+25.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

72W / 66L · 65 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

125W / 78L

Trades (30d)

203

across 55 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$33.43

avg win $135 · loss $34

Profit Factor

2.64

$2,153 won / $815 lost

Reward / Risk

3.96

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$324

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.2% 72W/66L	55	$9,755
💵 Economy	27.9% 17W/44L	17	$2,761
🏛 Politics	—	1	$35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	Yes	600	0.404	$242.24	$-212.68	-46.8%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	No	624	0.130	$81.09	$14.75	+22.2%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in July?	Yes	194	0.321	$62.29	$41.63	+201.5%
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	110	0.463	$50.86	$22.63	+80.1%
Will the US lose jobs in July?	Yes	383	0.080	$30.43	$8.14	+36.5%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?	Yes	147	0.175	$25.81	$3.69	+16.7%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	212	0.105	$22.31	$-27.69	-55.4%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	49	0.385	$18.74	$-1.70	-8.3%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	58	0.098	$5.68	$0.20	+3.7%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in July?	Yes	506	0.007	$3.54	$-0.97	-21.4%