PnL (30d)

−$442

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$347

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-38.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

10W / 21L · 124 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

15W / 140L

Trades (30d)

155

across 15 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$63.18

avg win $11 · loss $76

Profit Factor

0.03

$11 won / $454 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$322

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	13.8% 34W/213L	92	$6,714
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/14L	9	$1,070
⚽ Sports	—	4	$108
🌤 Weather	—	2	$8
🔬 Science	—	2	$8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	893	0.870	$777.07	$234.25	+43.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	621	0.202	$125.36	$-90.57	-41.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	461	0.175	$80.63	$-7.30	-8.3%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	Yes	2,471	0.027	$66.73	$-150.79	-69.3%
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	5,681	0.009	$53.97	$-7.89	-12.8%
Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	13,805	0.003	$34.51	$5.99	+21.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	190	0.118	$22.51	$17.66	+363.3%
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	50	0.374	$18.73	$11.97	+177.1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?	Yes	1,705	0.007	$11.93	$-140.55	-92.2%
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	176	0.062	$11.00	$7.30	+197.6%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	1,550	0.005	$8.53	$-4.68	-35.4%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	646	0.011	$6.78	$-23.91	-77.9%
Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	4,381	0.002	$6.57	$-2.19	-25.0%
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	131	0.014	$1.84	$0.26	+16.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?	Yes	360	0.002	$0.54	$-0.54	-50.0%
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No	5	0.070	$0.33	$0.05	+16.7%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?	Yes	219	0.001	$0.11	$-3.69	-97.1%
Will Bradley Barcola join Newcastle United?	Yes	112	0.001	$0.06	$-0.50	-90.0%