| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.915 |
$2,746.49 |
$219.91 |
+8.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.615 |
$1,844.99 |
$-258.63 |
-12.3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,300 |
0.924 |
$1,201.85 |
$9.75 |
+0.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
939 |
0.885 |
$830.58 |
$211.06 |
+34.1% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? |
No |
828 |
0.892 |
$738.59 |
$193.59 |
+35.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
600 |
0.969 |
$581.10 |
$-2.30 |
-0.4% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
600 |
0.915 |
$549.00 |
$11.00 |
+2.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
600 |
0.910 |
$546.00 |
$54.00 |
+11.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
700 |
0.695 |
$486.43 |
$-37.57 |
-7.2% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
500 |
0.925 |
$462.50 |
$37.50 |
+8.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.615 |
$368.99 |
$-18.00 |
-4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.835 |
$334.00 |
$-5.00 |
-1.5% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.903 |
$271.05 |
$18.35 |
+7.3% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.889 |
$222.38 |
$14.22 |
+6.8% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.825 |
$165.00 |
$26.00 |
+18.7% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.976 |
$97.60 |
$2.60 |
+2.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.966 |
$96.60 |
$34.60 |
+55.8% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.905 |
$90.49 |
$12.50 |
+16.0% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.790 |
$79.00 |
$21.00 |
+36.2% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
No |
90 |
0.845 |
$76.04 |
$27.38 |
+56.3% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.7% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
No |
67 |
0.949 |
$63.52 |
$18.65 |
+41.6% |