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Trader leaderboard/Iceqbedoo

Iceqbedoo

0x3ff132f129c42a92c64bd2d7f7269f4b7b9c1be9
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-10.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
28W / 10L
Win Return (30d)
74%
28W / 10L
Trades (30d)
38
across 19 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.73
avg win $1 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.57
$18 won / $32 lost
Reward / Risk
0.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,251 · all-time $52,977

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.2% 1,408W/489L 716 $8,537
⚽ Sports 69.5% 148W/65L 85 $994
🏛 Politics 89.5% 17W/2L 14 $137
💵 Economy 86.7% 13W/2L 11 $75
₿ Crypto 56.2% 9W/7L 9 $104
🌤 Weather 84.2% 16W/3L 9 $85
🎬 Culture 70.0% 7W/3L 6 $48
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 1 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? No 31 0.997 $30.51 $9.24 +43.5%
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? No 31 0.879 $27.28 $1.84 +7.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? Yes 20 0.686 $14.00 $-1.34 -8.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 10 1.000 $10.19 $1.83 +21.9%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 10 1.000 $10.19 $1.68 +19.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 10 1.000 $10.19 $0.86 +9.2%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 10 1.000 $10.19 $1.68 +19.7%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? No 10 1.000 $10.19 $2.34 +29.8%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 10 0.997 $10.16 $2.67 +35.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9? Yes 10 0.920 $9.38 $0.26 +2.8%
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 10 0.915 $9.33 $-0.05 -0.5%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 10 0.876 $9.16 $0.17 +1.9%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 10 0.895 $9.13 $1.99 +27.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 10 0.895 $9.13 $1.48 +19.3%
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? No 10 0.873 $8.90 $-0.07 -0.8%
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 10 0.870 $8.87 $0.00 +0.0%
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins DIA Ozarox Esports 10 0.860 $8.77 $1.38 +18.6%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? Yes 10 0.830 $8.47 $0.56 +7.1%
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? No 10 0.805 $8.21 $-0.10 -1.2%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-05? No 10 0.755 $7.70 $-0.05 -0.7%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 10 0.735 $7.50 $-0.05 -0.7%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? Yes 10 0.735 $7.50 $0.36 +5.0%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Nuclear TigeRES 10 0.745 $7.34 $0.54 +8.0%
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 10 0.710 $7.24 $0.20 +2.9%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? No 10 0.705 $7.19 $-0.15 -2.1%