yyyykk
0x3fe8878f022c20615bde51d17bfbc4c40ea71fd3
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$97
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+15.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
285W / 112L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
285W / 114L
Trades (30d)
399
across 27 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
+$3.73
avg win $14 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.91
$203 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
1.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$27
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,194 · all-time $4,308,620
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? |
Yes |
300 |
0.255 |
$76.50 |
$13.29 |
+21.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? |
Yes |
161 |
0.091 |
$14.65 |
$-4.93 |
-25.2% |