Greedtookover
0x3fcc94aadaa0038667c81730b90719f7e2ab5c9b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
76%
50W / 16L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
50W / 24L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
75
across 27 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.63
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
3.07
$23 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
1.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,689 · all-time $93,765
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
268 |
0.028 |
$7.52 |
$-0.81 |
-9.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
695 |
0.007 |
$5.21 |
$-0.83 |
-13.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.075 |
$4.50 |
$-0.42 |
-8.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
79 |
0.024 |
$1.87 |
$-5.76 |
-75.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.002 |
$1.50 |
$-0.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.125 |
$1.25 |
$-0.05 |
-3.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.001 |
$0.50 |
$-0.50 |
-50.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.001 |
$0.20 |
$-5.61 |
-96.5% |