PnL (30d)

+$514

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

23%

66W / 227L · 324 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

249W / 368L

Trades (30d)

617

across 21 markets · ~29 per market

EV / position

+$128.45

avg win $425 · loss $168

Profit Factor

2.53

$850 won / $336 lost

Reward / Risk

2.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.5% 66W/227L	21	$80,416
🏛 Politics	—	4	$10,466

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	4,605	0.790	$3,640.25	$1,337.75	+58.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	3,691	0.460	$1,696.20	$7.50	+0.4%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,600	0.209	$963.70	$-1,336.30	-58.1%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	940	0.595	$559.01	$14.09	+2.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.278	$277.51	$0.50	+0.2%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	533	0.140	$74.62	$-115.31	-60.7%
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	178	0.325	$57.85	$4.45	+8.3%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	136	0.255	$34.60	$-15.17	-30.5%
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	No	42	0.665	$27.93	$0.21	+0.8%
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	115	0.165	$19.05	$-0.36	-1.9%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	137	0.126	$17.13	$-1.02	-5.6%
Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	Yes	45	0.115	$5.19	$0.01	+0.1%
Will Lawrie Hooper be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	Yes	24	0.155	$3.72	$0.33	+9.7%
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	Yes	22	0.145	$3.19	$-1.42	-30.8%
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	Yes	30	0.090	$2.70	$-1.80	-40.0%
Will Alex Allinson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	Yes	30	0.065	$1.95	$-2.55	-56.7%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	1	0.125	$0.13	$-0.09	-40.4%
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	5	0.024	$0.12	$-1.29	-91.5%