| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
74 |
0.405 |
$29.94 |
$14.51 |
+94.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.885 |
$16.07 |
$4.68 |
+41.1% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
48 |
0.330 |
$15.99 |
$-0.41 |
-2.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
16 |
0.935 |
$14.61 |
$4.15 |
+39.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.835 |
$12.49 |
$1.71 |
+15.8% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
68 |
0.180 |
$12.31 |
$-17.74 |
-59.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
15 |
0.790 |
$11.57 |
$-0.44 |
-3.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.945 |
$10.99 |
$0.99 |
+9.9% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.415 |
$10.86 |
$2.86 |
+35.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.905 |
$9.55 |
$3.55 |
+59.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.930 |
$8.22 |
$0.22 |
+2.8% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
52 |
0.135 |
$7.08 |
$0.34 |
+5.0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? |
Yes |
114 |
0.055 |
$6.25 |
$-2.77 |
-30.7% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.320 |
$5.71 |
$0.71 |
+14.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.385 |
$5.66 |
$2.85 |
+101.2% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? |
No |
34 |
0.165 |
$5.58 |
$0.58 |
+11.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.06 |
$1.06 |
+26.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.065 |
$4.36 |
$-15.38 |
-77.9% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.130 |
$3.90 |
$-1.95 |
-33.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.87 |
$-0.13 |
-3.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.230 |
$3.41 |
$-1.59 |
-31.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.350 |
$3.20 |
$-0.80 |
-20.0% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? |
Yes |
3 |
0.805 |
$2.71 |
$-0.29 |
-9.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.465 |
$2.63 |
$-0.37 |
-12.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
15 |
0.175 |
$2.62 |
$-3.38 |
-56.3% |