Liquidpapercut
0x3e404c6a250584b14f3c0595d411fb734987224e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$50
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
27W / 26L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
27W / 36L
Trades (30d)
63
across 27 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.10
avg win $6 · loss $14
Profit Factor
0.64
$90 won / $140 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $701,852
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,778 |
0.009 |
$23.61 |
$-1.39 |
-5.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
33 |
0.210 |
$7.00 |
$-3.00 |
-30.0% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
113 |
0.003 |
$0.28 |
$-0.72 |
-71.8% |