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Trader leaderboard/Saulvable

Saulvable

0x3e287751e34e1e87ea6398ff9b423061ee0d4983
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$19
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
62W / 57L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
63W / 57L
Trades (30d)
120
across 103 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.18
avg win $6 · loss $9
Profit Factor
1.05
$380 won / $361 lost
Reward / Risk
0.68
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$94
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $767 · all-time $189,836

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.3% 280W/266L 467 $5,229
🌤 Weather 25.0% 4W/12L 14 $179

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 25 0.565 $13.98 $-0.13 -0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 28 0.505 $13.97 $-0.14 -1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 19 0.735 $13.62 $-0.49 -3.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 23 0.580 $13.20 $-0.91 -6.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 5? No 13 0.965 $12.98 $7.60 +141.2%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 10 0.789 $8.06 $-1.94 -19.4%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 5? No 7 0.990 $6.78 $1.78 +35.6%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 13 0.505 $6.73 $0.47 +7.4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5? Yes 24 0.250 $6.12 $-2.54 -29.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 7 0.835 $6.05 $1.05 +21.0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? No 8 0.710 $5.93 $-0.33 -5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 7 0.880 $5.79 $0.79 +15.7%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5? No 13 0.450 $5.75 $-0.51 -8.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 8 0.665 $5.63 $-0.63 -10.1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? Yes 12 0.415 $5.04 $0.04 +0.8%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? No 5 0.955 $4.77 $-0.18 -3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 12 0.400 $4.64 $-1.62 -25.9%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? No 10 0.445 $4.64 $-0.36 -7.3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 6 0.735 $4.42 $-0.58 -11.6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 7 0.525 $3.60 $-1.40 -28.1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? No 5 0.650 $3.25 $0.20 +6.6%