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Trader leaderboard/bugseeker

bugseeker

0x3e263b75b11749dab96f4e430fb0fec040cc3edf
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$13
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
4W / 1L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
4W / 2L
Trades (30d)
6
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$6.69
avg win $17 · loss $30
Profit Factor
0.55
$17 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,567 · all-time $702,265

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.1% 242W/64L 102 $3,147
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $117

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 80 0.710 $57.06 $34.56 +153.6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 436 0.095 $41.43 $-58.57 -58.6%
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No 42 0.765 $31.88 $16.88 +112.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 800 0.040 $31.60 $-23.60 -42.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 77 0.385 $29.62 $19.62 +196.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 1,518 0.019 $29.60 $-0.40 -1.3%
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026? Yes 300 0.095 $28.50 $-1.50 -5.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 200 0.135 $27.00 $-3.00 -10.0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 72 0.260 $18.73 $-11.27 -37.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 65 0.255 $16.63 $-13.37 -44.6%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 158 0.085 $13.42 $-16.58 -55.3%
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? Yes 64 0.180 $11.51 $-8.49 -42.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes 64 0.155 $9.98 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 62 0.155 $9.69 $-10.31 -51.6%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes 286 0.030 $8.57 $-11.43 -57.1%
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? Yes 494 0.014 $6.91 $-53.09 -88.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 125 0.038 $4.75 $-5.25 -52.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 56 0.055 $3.06 $-6.94 -69.4%
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.046 $0.46 $-1.34 -74.4%