| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
6,384 |
0.615 |
$3,926.15 |
$-1,387.68 |
-26.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,466 |
0.925 |
$2,281.05 |
$115.65 |
+5.3% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Yes |
2,663 |
0.520 |
$1,384.93 |
$-962.96 |
-41.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,238 |
0.935 |
$1,158.00 |
$215.06 |
+22.8% |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? |
No |
1,161 |
0.905 |
$1,050.95 |
$62.29 |
+6.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? |
No |
839 |
0.967 |
$810.42 |
$33.61 |
+4.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
838 |
0.935 |
$783.76 |
$73.75 |
+10.4% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
798 |
0.944 |
$753.38 |
$25.81 |
+3.5% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? |
No |
632 |
0.912 |
$576.76 |
$126.55 |
+28.1% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? |
No |
499 |
0.970 |
$484.01 |
$48.68 |
+11.2% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Obama |
Nothing |
492 |
0.920 |
$452.84 |
$10.47 |
+2.4% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? |
No |
450 |
0.976 |
$438.98 |
$24.98 |
+6.0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
400 |
0.905 |
$362.20 |
$26.20 |
+7.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$122.50 |
+61.2% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? |
No |
333 |
0.961 |
$320.01 |
$36.96 |
+13.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
266 |
0.957 |
$254.83 |
$31.24 |
+14.0% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? |
No |
244 |
0.840 |
$205.00 |
$72.02 |
+54.2% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
180 |
1.000 |
$179.91 |
$12.87 |
+7.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.177 |
$177.50 |
$-764.50 |
-81.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.977 |
$146.47 |
$9.97 |
+7.3% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.275 |
$110.00 |
$18.00 |
+19.6% |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.071 |
$71.40 |
$-700.60 |
-90.8% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
No |
800 |
0.075 |
$60.00 |
$-290.00 |
-82.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
102 |
0.135 |
$13.74 |
$-4.58 |
-25.0% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,230 |
0.001 |
$1.11 |
$-9.03 |
-89.0% |