PnL (30d)

+$4

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

11W / 6L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

12W / 9L

Trades (30d)

21

across 8 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.67

avg win $8 · loss $7

Profit Factor

1.20

$24 won / $20 lost

Reward / Risk

1.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$19

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.7% 11W/6L	8	$216
🏛 Politics	54.5% 6W/5L	4	$181
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/5L	2	$19
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	78	0.845	$65.57	$13.06	+24.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	55	0.155	$8.50	$-5.21	-38.0%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	6	0.961	$6.05	$1.01	+20.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	7	0.785	$5.38	$1.68	+45.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	4	0.555	$2.07	$0.07	+3.7%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	7	0.240	$1.71	$-0.29	-14.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	7	0.150	$1.10	$-2.90	-72.5%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	59	0.004	$0.21	$-0.79	-79.4%