PnL (30d)

+$1

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

59W / 16L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

72W / 21L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

94

across 53 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.02

avg win $4 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.01

$140 won / $139 lost

Reward / Risk

0.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.8% 1,292W/249L	1136	$86,202
🏛 Politics	61.1% 11W/7L	37	$3,844
⚽ Sports	83.3% 5W/1L	17	$1,796
💵 Economy	66.7% 2W/1L	13	$3,277
🎬 Culture	71.4% 5W/2L	5	$21
🌤 Weather	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$249

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?	Yes	500	0.145	$72.47	$10.00	+16.0%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.465	$21.86	$20.43	+1434.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.465	$21.86	$20.43	+1434.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.465	$21.86	$20.43	+1434.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.465	$21.86	$20.43	+1434.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.465	$21.86	$20.43	+1434.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.460	$21.62	$20.20	+1418.0%
Will Zach LaVine play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.440	$20.68	$19.26	+1352.0%
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	134	0.045	$6.03	$0.45	+8.0%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.115	$5.41	$3.98	+279.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.105	$4.93	$3.51	+246.5%
Will Maxx Crosby play for New England Patriots next?	No	5	1.000	$4.87	$0.14	+3.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	10	0.475	$4.75	$3.50	+280.0%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Zach LaVine play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	47	0.095	$4.46	$3.04	+213.5%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	4	0.999	$4.38	$0.06	+1.5%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	4	0.966	$4.19	$1.01	+31.9%