| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.886 |
$14.70 |
$5.30 |
+56.3% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
10 |
0.971 |
$9.24 |
$-0.06 |
-0.6% |
| Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.17 |
$0.17 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
5 |
0.984 |
$5.12 |
$0.12 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
5 |
0.991 |
$5.05 |
$0.05 |
+1.1% |
| Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.3% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.115 |
$2.36 |
$-2.36 |
-50.0% |
| Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
2 |
0.999 |
$1.93 |
$0.01 |
+0.6% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
15 |
0.002 |
$0.02 |
$-0.11 |
-82.5% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
2 |
0.002 |
$0.00 |
$-0.02 |
-84.8% |