PnL (30d)

+$320

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$111

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

81%

67W / 16L · 211 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

191W / 103L

Trades (30d)

294

across 90 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$16.84

avg win $90 · loss $258

Profit Factor

1.31

$1,352 won / $1,032 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$124

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	85.0% 6,763W/1,190L	1657	$299,218
⚽ Sports	66.7% 234W/117L	155	$15,359
🌤 Weather	79.2% 57W/15L	45	$762
🏛 Politics	76.9% 10W/3L	29	$13,422
💵 Economy	75.0% 6W/2L	9	$11,319
🎬 Culture	88.9% 8W/1L	5	$589
🤖 Tech	—	1	$43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

104 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	697	1.000	$696.65	$31.02	+4.7%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	20	0.999	$19.97	$1.79	+9.8%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	242	0.002	$0.36	$-18.25	-98.0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	242	0.002	$0.36	$-18.25	-98.0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	242	0.002	$0.36	$-18.25	-98.0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	242	0.002	$0.36	$-18.25	-98.0%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	196	0.002	$0.29	$-1.91	-86.6%
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	568	0.001	$0.28	$-6.10	-95.5%
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	568	0.001	$0.28	$-6.10	-95.5%
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	568	0.001	$0.28	$-6.10	-95.5%
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	568	0.001	$0.28	$-6.10	-95.5%
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	102	0.002	$0.15	$-1.93	-92.7%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	102	0.002	$0.15	$-1.93	-92.7%
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	102	0.002	$0.15	$-1.93	-92.7%
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	89	0.002	$0.13	$-0.56	-80.8%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	224	0.001	$0.11	$-6.48	-98.3%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	220	0.001	$0.11	$-4.78	-97.8%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	220	0.001	$0.11	$-4.78	-97.8%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	220	0.001	$0.11	$-4.78	-97.8%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-4.35	-97.8%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-4.34	-97.8%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-4.34	-97.8%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-4.34	-97.8%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-4.34	-97.8%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-4.34	-97.8%