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Trader leaderboard/Anony777

Anony777

0x3d7702587a84915097dfaf48de9f6623808d7004
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$419
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$41
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
148W / 609L · 155 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
209W / 692L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
912
across 157 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$3.46
avg win $5 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.26
$150 won / $569 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$44
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,724 · all-time $899,935

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 27.3% 2,060W/5,494L 1626 $113,119
🎬 Culture 31.8% 55W/118L 68 $2,242
🏛 Politics 34.9% 51W/95L 53 $1,443
⚽ Sports 60.0% 15W/10L 43 $1,660
💵 Economy 17.2% 15W/72L 35 $1,776
🌤 Weather 47.6% 49W/54L 27 $688
₿ Crypto 23.3% 10W/33L 24 $654
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/46L 7 $1,109
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $170

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

145 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 24 0.895 $21.18 $4.87 +29.9%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 20 0.982 $19.63 $12.23 +165.3%
Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 20 0.951 $19.02 $0.24 +1.3%
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa? Yes 20 0.884 $17.69 $2.89 +19.5%
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 20 0.858 $17.15 $2.75 +19.1%
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 20 0.842 $16.84 $-1.92 -10.2%
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? No 20 0.820 $16.40 $4.00 +32.3%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? No 20 0.775 $15.50 $1.10 +7.6%
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? Yes 20 0.750 $15.00 $-1.00 -6.2%
Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? No 20 0.746 $14.91 $-1.37 -8.4%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? No 20 0.725 $14.50 $-2.02 -12.2%
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? No 20 0.710 $14.20 $0.80 +6.0%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.703 $14.05 $-0.11 -0.8%
Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City? No 20 0.692 $13.83 $1.21 +9.6%
Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 20 0.690 $13.80 $-3.80 -21.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? Yes 20 0.687 $13.74 $0.48 +3.6%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? No 20 0.637 $12.74 $-0.52 -3.9%
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? Yes 20 0.620 $12.39 $-2.13 -14.7%
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next? No 20 0.600 $12.00 $-3.80 -24.1%
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? No 20 0.597 $11.93 $-4.95 -29.3%
Will Dillon Ward win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? No 20 0.591 $11.82 $-6.58 -35.8%
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? No 20 0.540 $10.80 $-3.20 -22.9%
Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $27B? No 20 0.500 $10.00 $-2.80 -21.9%
Will Nate Powell advance to the general election for WA-05? No 20 0.490 $9.80 $-8.40 -46.2%
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.430 $8.60 $-0.80 -8.5%