| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
266 |
0.675 |
$179.84 |
$22.89 |
+14.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
115 |
0.865 |
$99.37 |
$3.46 |
+3.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
112 |
0.845 |
$94.23 |
$12.48 |
+15.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
235 |
0.245 |
$57.46 |
$-0.95 |
-1.6% |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
35 |
0.997 |
$34.90 |
$11.20 |
+47.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
80 |
0.325 |
$26.08 |
$-17.96 |
-40.8% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
24 |
0.918 |
$22.36 |
$-1.01 |
-4.3% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
30 |
0.603 |
$18.21 |
$-6.75 |
-27.1% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
18 |
0.980 |
$17.65 |
$0.66 |
+3.9% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
18 |
0.944 |
$17.31 |
$4.63 |
+36.5% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.955 |
$16.55 |
$0.36 |
+2.2% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.820 |
$15.46 |
$0.18 |
+1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.485 |
$14.50 |
$2.29 |
+18.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.702 |
$14.03 |
$-4.77 |
-25.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.379 |
$13.25 |
$-2.73 |
-17.1% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.835 |
$12.65 |
$9.32 |
+279.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
49 |
0.255 |
$12.61 |
$-3.21 |
-20.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
20 |
0.630 |
$12.60 |
$1.55 |
+14.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
151 |
0.080 |
$12.05 |
$-14.15 |
-54.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
12 |
0.978 |
$12.04 |
$0.04 |
+0.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
20 |
0.595 |
$11.90 |
$-0.10 |
-0.8% |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.675 |
$11.16 |
$-0.08 |
-0.7% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.976 |
$10.70 |
$0.39 |
+3.8% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
11 |
0.945 |
$10.26 |
$0.05 |
+0.5% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.905 |
$10.10 |
$0.73 |
+7.7% |