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Trader leaderboard/0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269

0x3CFf61C9A93C80B02081c7859853e701BbF76fBd-1780459443269

0x3cff61c9a93c80b02081c7859853e701bbf76fbd
PnL (30d)
+$3
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
1W / 7L · 40 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
15W / 30L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
48
across 41 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.69
avg win $4 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.71
$4 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
8.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25 · all-time $53,580

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 12.5% 1W/7L 41 $240
🏛 Politics 2 $11
₿ Crypto 1 $10
💵 Economy 1 $10

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No 18 0.950 $17.10 $0.00 +0.0%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No 10 0.945 $9.45 $0.05 +0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat? No 10 0.935 $9.35 $-0.05 -0.5%
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No 10 0.825 $8.24 $0.05 +0.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No 10 0.715 $7.15 $-0.65 -8.3%
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 5 0.996 $4.97 $0.21 +4.5%
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No 5 0.984 $4.92 $0.01 +0.2%
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No 5 0.981 $4.90 $-0.02 -0.5%
Deel IPO before 2027? No 5 0.955 $4.77 $0.02 +0.5%
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.953 $4.76 $-0.07 -1.4%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat? No 5 0.950 $4.75 $0.02 +0.5%
ByteDance IPO before 2027? No 5 0.935 $4.67 $-0.02 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat? No 5 0.895 $4.47 $-0.03 -0.6%
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 5 0.885 $4.42 $-0.27 -5.8%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 4 0.976 $4.28 $0.11 +2.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat? No 5 0.835 $4.17 $-0.03 -0.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 5 0.825 $4.12 $-0.62 -13.2%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 5 0.820 $4.10 $-0.79 -16.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? No 5 0.835 $3.88 $-0.30 -7.2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 5 0.675 $3.38 $-0.72 -17.7%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No 8 0.390 $3.12 $-2.40 -43.5%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No 5 0.595 $2.97 $-0.23 -7.0%
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No 3 0.939 $2.82 $-0.13 -4.4%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? No 3 0.994 $2.59 $0.09 +3.6%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? No 3 0.895 $2.52 $0.10 +4.1%