Vilgefortz
0x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$101
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$864
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
7W / 0L · 121 open
Win Return (30d)
42%
54W / 74L
Trades (30d)
128
across 7 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
+$101.50
avg win $101
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $49,494 · all-time $15,801,108
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
112,000 |
0.925 |
$103,600.00 |
$3,454.53 |
+3.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
103,000 |
0.835 |
$86,005.00 |
$4,756.44 |
+5.9% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
32,000 |
0.875 |
$28,000.00 |
$899.97 |
+3.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
26,000 |
0.981 |
$25,493.00 |
$1,620.22 |
+6.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
37,000 |
0.278 |
$10,267.50 |
$2,406.00 |
+30.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
7,394 |
0.515 |
$3,808.06 |
$-186.34 |
-4.7% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
Yes |
4,200 |
0.265 |
$1,113.00 |
$-575.68 |
-34.1% |