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Trader leaderboard/Michael5289

Michael5289

0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
5W / 0L
Trades (30d)
5
across 1 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,258 · all-time $1,953,663

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 96.8% 640W/21L 333 $87,375
⚽ Sports 100.0% 77W/0L 52 $4,601
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $301
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $279
💵 Economy 1 $68

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? Yes 2,012 0.977 $1,964.90 $305.57 +18.4%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.955 $477.50 $67.50 +16.5%
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No 480 0.875 $420.00 $35.50 +9.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 290 0.945 $274.05 $38.40 +16.3%
New pandemic in 2026? No 289 0.935 $270.39 $86.88 +47.3%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.974 $194.70 $64.70 +49.8%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No 190 0.855 $162.45 $10.00 +6.6%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 97 0.987 $95.43 $6.43 +7.2%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 100 0.935 $93.50 $10.50 +12.7%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Sally? No 66 0.966 $63.67 $0.16 +0.3%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 60 0.991 $59.46 $7.26 +13.9%
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Wilfred? No 53 0.955 $50.90 $-1.00 -1.9%
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? No 55 0.916 $50.58 $1.61 +3.3%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? Yes 51 0.978 $49.42 $4.64 +10.4%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 50 0.962 $48.10 $2.85 +6.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 50 0.924 $46.23 $1.38 +3.1%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No 50 0.920 $46.00 $1.25 +2.8%
Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026? No 45 0.968 $43.79 $4.81 +12.3%
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? Yes 66 0.650 $43.02 $-13.33 -23.7%
Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes 42 0.890 $37.31 $1.43 +4.0%
Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026? No 33 0.895 $29.10 $3.36 +13.0%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? No 30 0.935 $28.34 $7.44 +35.6%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 27 0.835 $22.67 $4.93 +27.8%
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No 25 0.896 $22.40 $2.75 +14.0%
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? No 19 0.750 $14.18 $-1.32 -8.5%