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Trader

0x3c1551a25ecef3a35f94e7262f1fd4413a0145a0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$46
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
4W / 25L · 49 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
39W / 37L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
78
across 32 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$7.73
avg win $6 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.11
$6 won / $52 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$50
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,061 · all-time $341,210

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.8% 915W/1,508L 849 $28,760
⚽ Sports 51.6% 174W/163L 193 $5,675
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/11L 26 $871
🎬 Culture 7.8% 4W/47L 15 $764
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/19L 10 $417
🤖 Tech 4 $56
🌤 Weather 66.7% 2W/1L 3 $37
₿ Crypto 2 $79

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

169 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal No 176 0.890 $156.71 $1.49 +1.0%
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? Yes 149 0.904 $134.67 $22.18 +19.7%
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-05? Yes 571 0.235 $134.08 $3.33 +2.5%
Will Daniil Medvedev Win ATP Montreal No 140 0.955 $133.70 $3.10 +2.4%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 259 0.370 $95.99 $13.65 +16.6%
Will Julian Sayin win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No 100 0.890 $89.00 $-1.00 -1.1%
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? No 100 0.876 $87.65 $5.15 +6.2%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? No 90 0.941 $84.25 $3.68 +4.6%
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Yes 124 0.675 $83.51 $2.41 +3.0%
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 139 0.600 $83.34 $25.80 +44.8%
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? No 125 0.605 $75.53 $9.30 +14.0%
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06? No 176 0.385 $67.57 $-4.38 -6.1%
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? No 100 0.640 $64.00 $-1.00 -1.5%
Hammarby IF FF vs. FK Apolonia Fier: Both Teams to Score Yes 200 0.295 $59.00 $-43.00 -42.2%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No 73 0.775 $56.58 $-6.43 -10.2%
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao 113 0.485 $54.80 $14.97 +37.6%
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 111 0.490 $54.54 $14.54 +36.4%
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montreal Yes 200 0.250 $50.00 $-4.00 -7.4%
Will Casper Ruud Win ATP Montreal No 50 0.986 $49.27 $0.77 +1.6%
Will Jakub Mensik Win ATP Montreal No 50 0.966 $48.27 $-0.72 -1.5%
Will Taylor Fritz Win ATP Montreal No 53 0.890 $47.17 $-0.68 -1.4%
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal No 50 0.935 $46.86 $0.86 +1.9%
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes 58 0.785 $45.48 $8.02 +21.4%
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? No 53 0.850 $44.80 $1.59 +3.7%
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Yes 50 0.895 $44.75 $1.25 +2.9%