| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,358 |
0.987 |
$1,339.25 |
$82.62 |
+6.6% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.350 |
$699.95 |
$-90.38 |
-11.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
600 |
0.305 |
$183.12 |
$99.55 |
+119.1% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
181 |
0.994 |
$180.09 |
$77.41 |
+75.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.695 |
$138.98 |
$-19.82 |
-12.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.840 |
$126.00 |
$-1.40 |
-1.1% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.966 |
$96.60 |
$27.10 |
+39.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
250 |
0.385 |
$96.25 |
$63.75 |
+196.2% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.785 |
$78.50 |
$7.50 |
+10.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.645 |
$64.50 |
$6.50 |
+11.2% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? |
No |
68 |
0.860 |
$58.73 |
$1.80 |
+3.2% |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
411 |
0.107 |
$44.19 |
$20.35 |
+85.4% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.185 |
$40.26 |
$1.85 |
+4.8% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
350 |
0.073 |
$25.72 |
$-21.48 |
-45.5% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
775 |
0.013 |
$10.46 |
$-5.81 |
-35.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? |
Yes |
53 |
0.165 |
$8.70 |
$2.37 |
+37.5% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
250 |
0.018 |
$4.38 |
$1.90 |
+76.8% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
600 |
0.006 |
$3.60 |
$-4.50 |
-55.6% |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
185 |
0.011 |
$2.13 |
$0.02 |
+1.1% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.046 |
$1.38 |
$-3.82 |
-73.5% |
| Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
100 |
0.006 |
$0.60 |
$-0.40 |
-40.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? |
Yes |
7 |
0.060 |
$0.43 |
$0.21 |
+100.0% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
65 |
0.003 |
$0.19 |
$-62.76 |
-99.7% |