YoshiYamamoto
0x3bcf0c1c1a3356b3e30054f24baece1ec59be964
PnL (30d)
+$5,982
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,177
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
1W / 4L · 99 open
Win Return (30d)
92%
96W / 8L
Trades (30d)
104
across 12 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$2,991.20
avg win $7,000 · loss $1,018
Profit Factor
6.88
$7,000 won / $1,018 lost
Reward / Risk
6.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,018
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,861 · all-time $2,283,348
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
24,566 |
0.945 |
$23,214.76 |
$122.83 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
11,111 |
0.935 |
$10,388.79 |
$166.68 |
+1.6% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
10,000 |
0.987 |
$9,865.00 |
$25.00 |
+0.3% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
6,332 |
0.963 |
$6,094.83 |
$28.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,205 |
0.987 |
$4,148.23 |
$48.56 |
+1.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
3,690 |
0.963 |
$3,551.87 |
$-3.39 |
-0.1% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,299 |
0.905 |
$2,985.56 |
$280.41 |
+10.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.675 |
$749.92 |
$61.10 |
+8.9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
668 |
0.952 |
$635.93 |
$-0.29 |
-0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
500 |
0.865 |
$432.50 |
$37.50 |
+9.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
342 |
0.675 |
$230.65 |
$-39.30 |
-14.6% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
195 |
0.963 |
$188.00 |
$6.25 |
+3.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5 |
0.790 |
$3.95 |
$1.45 |
+58.1% |