PnL (30d)

−$33

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$134

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

168W / 73L · 78 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

209W / 106L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

319

across 113 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.42

avg win $12 · loss $27

Profit Factor

0.95

$653 won / $686 lost

Reward / Risk

0.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.7% 168W/73L	113	$5,497
💵 Economy	40.9% 9W/13L	33	$1,118

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	298	1.000	$297.77	$86.61	+41.0%
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	151	0.555	$83.57	$-3.76	-4.3%
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	125	0.655	$82.13	$-0.35	-0.4%
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88	0.870	$76.85	$18.55	+31.8%
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	80	0.910	$72.69	$0.80	+1.1%
Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	70	0.840	$59.19	$11.98	+25.4%
Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	59	0.805	$47.66	$-0.30	-0.6%
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	70	0.680	$47.51	$-1.40	-2.9%
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	50	0.901	$45.05	$1.77	+4.1%
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	56	0.800	$44.93	$7.30	+19.4%
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	54	0.825	$44.53	$6.21	+16.2%
Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	77	0.555	$42.97	$-0.39	-0.9%
Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	37	0.770	$28.33	$-0.99	-3.4%
Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	31	0.875	$27.26	$-0.47	-1.7%
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	24	0.955	$22.66	$0.17	+0.8%
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	22	1.000	$22.01	$8.14	+58.7%
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	82	0.260	$21.27	$-0.86	-3.9%
Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	20	0.955	$19.10	$0.70	+3.8%
Will Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	38	0.465	$17.48	$-5.83	-25.0%
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	17	0.795	$13.49	$0.72	+5.6%
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	17	0.740	$12.67	$4.96	+64.4%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	36	0.350	$12.51	$-1.05	-7.8%
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	11	1.000	$11.29	$3.95	+53.8%
Will TripAdvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	18	0.615	$11.27	$-0.09	-0.8%
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	19	0.530	$10.00	$0.38	+3.9%