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Trader

0x3b6bbb7dacdcca1b783edb28d33339a282acb46a
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$128
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
98%
148W / 3L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
154W / 3L
Trades (30d)
157
across 29 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$4.74
avg win $15 · loss $264
Profit Factor
1.48
$392 won / $264 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$264
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,021 · all-time $344,142

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.1% 555W/35L 123 $62,154
🌤 Weather 98.0% 148W/3L 29 $13,742
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $378
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $759

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 818 1.000 $817.25 $11.68 +1.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5? No 543 1.000 $542.49 $8.29 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? No 418 1.000 $418.20 $2.22 +0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 5? No 411 0.994 $408.53 $13.78 +3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? Yes 378 1.000 $377.94 $3.59 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 5? No 300 1.000 $299.85 $2.85 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? No 248 1.000 $247.92 $0.37 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 225 1.000 $225.15 $2.14 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 5? No 209 0.993 $207.49 $0.68 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 194 1.000 $193.42 $0.29 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 165 0.998 $164.67 $1.04 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5? No 144 1.000 $143.59 $1.44 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 137 1.000 $136.48 $4.52 +3.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 129 1.000 $128.65 $2.41 +1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 102 0.998 $102.16 $0.82 +0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 99 0.996 $98.98 $1.59 +1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? No 47 1.000 $47.47 $0.17 +0.4%