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Trader leaderboard/0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306

0x3b300a916331c4D7D65D50F378Dcb02b3c5D100F-1768576368306

0x3b300a916331c4d7d65d50f378dcb02b3c5d100f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$14
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$38
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+11.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
2W / 1L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
15W / 14L
Trades (30d)
29
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$4.76
avg win $7 · loss $0
Profit Factor
33.78
$15 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
16.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $279 · all-time $21,736

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.4% 4W/5L 50 $1,581
💵 Economy 2 $108
🤖 Tech 1 $23
⚽ Sports 1 $4
🏛 Politics 1 $33
₿ Crypto 1 $55

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? No 47 0.635 $30.09 $1.18 +4.1%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? No 38 0.770 $29.54 $6.21 +26.6%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? No 37 0.780 $29.03 $5.58 +23.8%
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? No 38 0.755 $28.93 $5.17 +21.8%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? No 48 0.595 $28.67 $-0.24 -0.8%
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? No 39 0.680 $26.21 $2.88 +12.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 40 0.625 $25.14 $0.80 +3.3%
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? No 34 0.725 $24.51 $1.18 +5.1%
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? No 37 0.650 $24.35 $0.37 +1.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 37 0.650 $24.14 $1.11 +4.8%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? No 35 0.670 $23.37 $0.35 +1.5%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? No 35 0.613 $21.67 $-1.49 -6.4%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 36 0.590 $21.22 $-1.80 -7.8%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 39 0.540 $20.83 $-2.81 -11.9%
Will Jack Grealish join Everton? No 33 0.590 $19.32 $-0.65 -3.3%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? No 38 0.385 $14.45 $-8.57 -37.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 38 0.225 $8.45 $-14.53 -63.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 36 0.205 $7.39 $-15.59 -67.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 38 0.165 $6.34 $-17.50 -73.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 37 0.165 $6.16 $-17.35 -73.8%