| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
25,108 |
0.345 |
$8,659.64 |
$-3,276.95 |
-27.5% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
16,467 |
0.013 |
$222.30 |
$-79.80 |
-26.4% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
No |
6,901 |
0.014 |
$96.61 |
$-62.10 |
-39.1% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
12,674 |
0.007 |
$95.05 |
$-54.50 |
-36.4% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
29,517 |
0.002 |
$44.28 |
$-632.46 |
-93.5% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? |
Yes |
2,582 |
0.013 |
$32.27 |
$-100.47 |
-75.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
33 |
0.740 |
$24.51 |
$0.64 |
+2.7% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
4,410 |
0.004 |
$17.64 |
$-18.24 |
-50.8% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
11,721 |
0.002 |
$17.58 |
$-427.62 |
-96.1% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
8,467 |
0.001 |
$4.23 |
$-484.94 |
-99.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? |
Yes |
18 |
0.100 |
$1.79 |
$-1.81 |
-50.2% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,099 |
0.001 |
$1.05 |
$-61.03 |
-98.3% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
323 |
0.003 |
$0.97 |
$0.32 |
+50.0% |