| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$5.39 |
$0.30 |
+6.0% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$5.38 |
$0.37 |
+7.4% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.994 |
$5.38 |
$0.35 |
+6.9% |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
5 |
0.972 |
$5.28 |
$0.23 |
+4.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
5 |
0.999 |
$5.22 |
$0.20 |
+4.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.982 |
$5.21 |
$0.17 |
+3.4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
0.990 |
$5.20 |
$0.22 |
+4.4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$5.17 |
$0.12 |
+2.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
5 |
0.999 |
$5.15 |
$0.14 |
+2.7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.12 |
$0.10 |
+2.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.988 |
$5.12 |
$0.10 |
+2.0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? |
No |
5 |
0.980 |
$5.02 |
$-0.00 |
-0.1% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.966 |
$5.00 |
$-0.02 |
-0.3% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? |
No |
5 |
0.957 |
$5.00 |
$-0.01 |
-0.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.93 |
$-0.10 |
-2.1% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
5 |
0.768 |
$4.15 |
$-0.94 |
-18.5% |