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Trader leaderboard/TheReturnOfDarthMaul

TheReturnOfDarthMaul

0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$467,809
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2,009
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-39.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
2W / 615L · 357 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
121W / 853L
Trades (30d)
974
across 7 markets · ~139 per market
EV / position
−$116,952.16
avg win $1,360 · loss $156,390
Profit Factor
0.00
$1,360 won / $469,169 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$133,576
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $253,617 · all-time $16,546,961

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 11.5% 101W/780L 38 $1,859,361
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/105L 15 $640,155
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/105L 6 $548,852
🤖 Tech 5 $12,503
🔬 Science 1 $8,895

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 628,869 0.985 $619,121.59 $16,192.12 +2.7%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 558,512 0.886 $495,121.00 $54,933.02 +12.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 430,239 0.465 $200,061.22 $-8,908.96 -4.3%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 129,785 0.935 $121,349.08 $9,037.59 +8.0%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 96,000 0.910 $87,359.96 $5,700.29 +7.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 87,948 0.850 $74,755.39 $2,695.24 +3.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 114,601 0.625 $71,625.90 $15,431.66 +27.5%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 46,115 0.985 $45,400.18 $2,224.12 +5.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? Yes 52,000 0.845 $43,940.00 $-2,809.82 -6.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No 45,702 0.951 $43,463.00 $1,873.80 +4.5%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No 44,502 0.885 $39,384.47 $4,684.48 +13.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 33,000 0.963 $31,762.50 $2,491.50 +8.5%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 28,693 0.977 $28,018.27 $2,793.42 +11.1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 26,910 0.925 $24,891.33 $2,047.22 +9.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No 24,022 0.915 $21,980.55 $2,061.15 +10.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 25,615 0.655 $16,777.70 $-2,309.48 -12.1%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No 15,867 0.940 $14,915.09 $1,447.07 +10.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 17,000 0.825 $14,024.95 $-824.85 -5.6%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 29,820 0.465 $13,866.30 $-2,122.23 -13.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No 11,442 0.964 $11,024.15 $274.02 +2.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 10,747 0.955 $10,263.50 $828.47 +8.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 20,000 0.485 $9,699.99 $-1,049.90 -9.8%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 8,000 0.955 $7,636.00 $151.01 +2.0%
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 13,000 0.505 $6,564.99 $195.09 +3.1%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No 5,884 0.945 $5,559.93 $603.34 +12.2%