| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? |
No |
260 |
0.665 |
$172.90 |
$-17.01 |
-9.0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
158 |
0.830 |
$131.14 |
$9.06 |
+7.4% |
| Will Rodri join Real Madrid? |
Yes |
110 |
0.775 |
$85.36 |
$17.20 |
+25.2% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
250 |
0.298 |
$74.62 |
$-7.52 |
-9.2% |
| Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? |
Yes |
140 |
0.480 |
$67.20 |
$10.73 |
+19.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.845 |
$63.10 |
$3.97 |
+6.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
70 |
0.835 |
$58.45 |
$1.15 |
+2.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
220 |
0.261 |
$57.31 |
$1.57 |
+2.8% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
55 |
0.890 |
$49.21 |
$3.32 |
+7.2% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? |
No |
70 |
0.625 |
$43.75 |
$2.65 |
+6.4% |
| Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? |
Yes |
50 |
0.825 |
$41.23 |
$1.02 |
+2.5% |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
40 |
0.750 |
$30.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
233 |
0.129 |
$29.94 |
$16.90 |
+129.5% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? |
No |
32 |
0.855 |
$27.76 |
$3.15 |
+12.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
74 |
0.370 |
$27.52 |
$1.93 |
+7.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.515 |
$25.75 |
$-1.45 |
-5.3% |
| Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? |
No |
50 |
0.505 |
$25.25 |
$-18.75 |
-42.6% |
| EPL: Will Jeff Bezos Be Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.890 |
$24.34 |
$3.01 |
+14.1% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,316 |
0.011 |
$24.32 |
$-30.70 |
-55.8% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
268 |
0.077 |
$20.77 |
$-10.25 |
-33.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.380 |
$19.00 |
$-6.00 |
-24.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.270 |
$18.90 |
$-1.70 |
-8.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.170 |
$17.00 |
$5.00 |
+41.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
55 |
0.295 |
$16.22 |
$-1.27 |
-7.3% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August |
Nothing |
20 |
0.810 |
$16.20 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |