Trader
0x3a595f446970c729af8e10224ec865d5de30c2b6
PnL (30d)
−$75
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
156W / 17L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
161W / 19L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
183
across 81 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.01
avg win $2 · loss $44
Profit Factor
0.66
$147 won / $222 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $50 · all-time $110,490
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
50 |
0.911 |
$45.58 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.905 |
$45.25 |
$6.50 |
+16.8% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
46 |
0.485 |
$22.31 |
$-3.76 |
-14.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
280 |
0.022 |
$6.30 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.960 |
$4.80 |
$0.50 |
+11.6% |
| Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.993 |
$1.86 |
$0.16 |
+9.3% |