| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? |
No |
768 |
0.977 |
$749.63 |
$2.75 |
+0.4% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
590 |
0.983 |
$579.80 |
$32.89 |
+6.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
577 |
0.959 |
$553.08 |
$5.48 |
+1.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
616 |
0.835 |
$514.65 |
$-32.45 |
-5.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
522 |
0.855 |
$446.69 |
$-13.49 |
-2.9% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? |
No |
390 |
0.840 |
$327.39 |
$-19.49 |
-5.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
1,063 |
0.285 |
$302.84 |
$-246.23 |
-44.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
No |
435 |
0.635 |
$276.48 |
$16.30 |
+6.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
No |
280 |
0.965 |
$269.97 |
$9.79 |
+3.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
271 |
0.977 |
$264.66 |
$4.47 |
+1.7% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
359 |
0.724 |
$259.64 |
$-0.54 |
-0.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? |
No |
277 |
0.935 |
$258.80 |
$-1.38 |
-0.5% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
286 |
0.905 |
$258.75 |
$-1.43 |
-0.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
338 |
0.725 |
$244.96 |
$7.58 |
+3.2% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
266 |
0.920 |
$244.69 |
$7.63 |
+3.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
270 |
0.905 |
$244.13 |
$6.75 |
+2.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
259 |
0.935 |
$242.42 |
$5.03 |
+2.1% |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
No |
260 |
0.925 |
$240.28 |
$2.90 |
+1.2% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? |
No |
254 |
0.945 |
$239.77 |
$2.39 |
+1.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
319 |
0.750 |
$239.03 |
$1.65 |
+0.7% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
257 |
0.929 |
$238.53 |
$1.14 |
+0.5% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? |
No |
283 |
0.835 |
$236.14 |
$-24.04 |
-9.2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
254 |
0.927 |
$235.85 |
$-1.53 |
-0.6% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
257 |
0.915 |
$234.98 |
$-2.40 |
-1.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
316 |
0.735 |
$232.04 |
$-5.35 |
-2.3% |