PnL (30d)

+$196

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

368W / 63L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

85%

374W / 64L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

440

across 66 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$3.12

avg win $5 · loss $4

Profit Factor

5.36

$241 won / $45 lost

Reward / Risk

1.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	85.4% 368W/63L	66	$14,118
🌤 Weather	94.4% 17W/1L	3	$280

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5?	No	478	0.996	$476.00	$5.26	+1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5?	No	10	0.997	$9.96	$0.52	+5.4%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 5?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%