| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,717 |
0.565 |
$2,099.87 |
$352.61 |
+20.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
6,109 |
0.290 |
$1,771.74 |
$101.98 |
+6.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
5,871 |
0.165 |
$968.70 |
$317.74 |
+48.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
22,861 |
0.032 |
$720.11 |
$9.19 |
+1.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,495 |
0.460 |
$687.55 |
$158.58 |
+30.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
Yes |
4,944 |
0.095 |
$469.70 |
$67.06 |
+16.7% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.145 |
$290.01 |
$19.73 |
+7.3% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
467 |
0.310 |
$144.90 |
$-40.05 |
-21.7% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
Yes |
2,001 |
0.070 |
$140.84 |
$0.66 |
+0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.115 |
$115.00 |
$-5.00 |
-4.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
2,538 |
0.045 |
$114.22 |
$-63.45 |
-35.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.085 |
$85.00 |
$7.05 |
+9.0% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
66 |
0.520 |
$34.31 |
$-5.83 |
-14.5% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
535 |
0.059 |
$31.32 |
$0.80 |
+2.6% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
386 |
0.044 |
$16.99 |
$-12.45 |
-42.3% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? |
Yes |
528 |
0.025 |
$13.40 |
$5.23 |
+64.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.195 |
$9.75 |
$-4.75 |
-32.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? |
Yes |
2,634 |
0.004 |
$9.22 |
$-3.95 |
-30.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? |
Yes |
532 |
0.014 |
$7.45 |
$-1.72 |
-18.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
22 |
0.265 |
$5.91 |
$0.33 |
+5.9% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? |
Yes |
450 |
0.009 |
$3.83 |
$-4.72 |
-55.3% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
Yes |
40 |
0.080 |
$3.20 |
$-1.20 |
-27.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.064 |
$3.17 |
$0.12 |
+4.1% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
169 |
0.015 |
$2.62 |
$-7.35 |
-73.7% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.110 |
$2.20 |
$-0.40 |
-15.4% |